Predicted scoreLikely
Oregon
37.5
Rutgers
25.3
Rutgers win probability: 23%
Margin (Rutgers − Oregon): -12.2 (80% range -34 to 8)
Total: 62.9 (80% range 38 to 90)
Actual: Oregon 56 – Rutgers 10 (margin error 33.8, total error 3.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.56% |
| 45 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.