2025 Postseason · Jan 1, 2026, 5:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium (neutral site)

Oregon @ Texas Tech

Predicted scoreLikely

Oregon

34.8

Texas Tech

25.0

Texas Tech win probability: 27%

Margin (Texas Tech − Oregon): -9.8 (80% range -31 to 11)

Total: 59.7 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Oregon 23 – Texas Tech 0 (margin error 13.2, total error 36.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.