2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 4:00 PM · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium

Oregon @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreLikely

Oregon

30.1

Northwestern

20.3

Northwestern win probability: 27%

Margin (Northwestern − Oregon): -9.8 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Oregon 34 – Northwestern 14 (margin error 10.2, total error 2.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.