Predicted scoreConfident
Wisconsin
13.9
Oregon
37.2
Oregon win probability: 93%
Margin (Oregon − Wisconsin): 23.3 (80% range 3 to 44)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Wisconsin 7 – Oregon 21 (margin error 9.3, total error 23.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.91% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.