Predicted scoreConfident
Nebraska
16.7
Oregon
35.3
Oregon win probability: 88%
Margin (Oregon − Nebraska): 18.6 (80% range -1 to 39)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:35 PM | 17.4 | 52.0 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:35 PM | 17.3 | 52.1 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:47 PM | 18.6 | 52.0 | 88% |