2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Ohio Stadium
Oregon @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreLean
Oregon
22.4
Ohio State
30.3
Ohio State win probability: 69%
Margin (Ohio State − Oregon): 7.9 (80% range -12 to 28)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:19 PM | 7.9 | 52.7 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:18 PM | 7.9 | 52.7 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:12 PM | 7.9 | 52.7 | 69% |