2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 PM · Boone Pickens Stadium
Oregon @ Oklahoma State
Predicted scoreConfident
Oregon
40.4
Oklahoma State
15.6
Oklahoma State win probability: 6%
Margin (Oklahoma State − Oregon): -24.8 (80% range -46 to -4)
Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 10 | 0.81% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.70% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:25 PM | -24.9 | 56.2 | 6% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:25 PM | -24.8 | 56.2 | 6% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:23 PM | -24.8 | 56.0 | 6% |