Predicted scoreConfident
Buffalo
12.8
Minnesota
35.9
Minnesota win probability: 93%
Margin (Minnesota − Buffalo): 23.1 (80% range 3 to 44)
Total: 48.6 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Buffalo 10 – Minnesota 23 (margin error 10.1, total error 15.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.95% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.91% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.85% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.