2025 Week 1 · Aug 29, 2025, 12:00 AM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Buffalo @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreConfident

Buffalo

12.8

Minnesota

35.9

Minnesota win probability: 93%

Margin (Minnesota − Buffalo): 23.1 (80% range 3 to 44)

Total: 48.6 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Buffalo 10 – Minnesota 23 (margin error 10.1, total error 15.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.