2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 4:00 PM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Rutgers @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreLean

Rutgers

26.7

Minnesota

31.4

Minnesota win probability: 61%

Margin (Minnesota − Rutgers): 4.6 (80% range -17 to 25)

Total: 58.1 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Rutgers 28 – Minnesota 31 (margin error 1.6, total error 0.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.