Predicted scoreToss-up
Nebraska
24.4
Minnesota
20.8
Minnesota win probability: 41%
Margin (Minnesota − Nebraska): -3.6 (80% range -24 to 15)
Total: 45.2 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: Nebraska 6 – Minnesota 24 (margin error 21.6, total error 15.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 10 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.