2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 11:30 PM · Ohio Stadium
Minnesota @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Minnesota
13.0
Ohio State
33.6
Ohio State win probability: 91%
Margin (Ohio State − Minnesota): 20.6 (80% range 0 to 41)
Total: 46.7 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Minnesota 3 – Ohio State 42 (margin error 18.4, total error 1.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.98% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.97% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.