2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 11:30 PM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Purdue @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreLean

Purdue

23.3

Minnesota

27.4

Minnesota win probability: 60%

Margin (Minnesota − Purdue): 4.0 (80% range -16 to 24)

Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Purdue 20 – Minnesota 27 (margin error 3.0, total error 3.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.