Minnesota
Big Ten
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs North Carolina | 19–17 | 28.3–27.6 | 1.3 |
| Week 3 | vs Nevada | 0–27 | 18.4–34.6 | 10.8 |
| Week 4 | vs Iowa | 31–14 | 21.3–24.2 | 19.9 |
| Week 5 | @ Michigan | 27–24 | 31.7–15.4 | 13.3 |
| Week 6 | vs USC | 17–24 | 26.8–23.1 | 10.6 |
| Week 7 | @ UCLA | 17–21 | 22.8–25.6 | 1.2 |
| Week 9 | vs Maryland | 23–48 | 24.5–28.0 | 21.5 |
| Week 10 | @ Illinois | 17–25 | 26.1–26.8 | 7.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Rutgers | 26–19 | 24.6–28.5 | 10.9 |
| Week 13 | vs Penn State | 26–25 | 27.8–22.2 | 4.6 |
| Week 14 | @ Wisconsin | 7–24 | 22.2–24.5 | 14.7 |
| Week 1 | @ Virginia Tech | 10–24 | 30.3–27.0 | 17.3 |