2024 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024, 5:00 PM · Camp Randall Stadium

Minnesota @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreToss-up

Minnesota

24.5

Wisconsin

22.2

Wisconsin win probability: 44%

Margin (Wisconsin − Minnesota): -2.3 (80% range -21 to 17)

Total: 46.7 (80% range 24 to 69)

Actual: Minnesota 24 – Wisconsin 7 (margin error 14.7, total error 15.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.