2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Minnesota @ Illinois

Predicted scoreToss-up

Minnesota

26.8

Illinois

26.1

Illinois win probability: 48%

Margin (Illinois − Minnesota): -0.7 (80% range -21 to 19)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Minnesota 25 – Illinois 17 (margin error 7.3, total error 10.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.