Predicted scoreToss-up
Minnesota
25.6
UCLA
22.8
UCLA win probability: 43%
Margin (UCLA − Minnesota): -2.8 (80% range -22 to 17)
Total: 48.5 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Minnesota 21 – UCLA 17 (margin error 1.2, total error 10.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.89% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.