2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:30 PM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Penn State @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreLean

Penn State

27.8

Minnesota

22.2

Minnesota win probability: 36%

Margin (Minnesota − Penn State): -5.6 (80% range -25 to 14)

Total: 50.1 (80% range 27 to 74)

Actual: Penn State 26 – Minnesota 25 (margin error 4.6, total error 0.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.