2024 Postseason · Jan 4, 2025, 12:30 AM · Bank of America Stadium (neutral site)

Minnesota @ Virginia Tech

Predicted scoreToss-up

Minnesota

27.0

Virginia Tech

30.3

Virginia Tech win probability: 58%

Margin (Virginia Tech − Minnesota): 3.3 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Minnesota 24 – Virginia Tech 10 (margin error 17.3, total error 23.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.