2024 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2024, 12:00 AM · Huntington Bank Stadium

North Carolina @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreToss-up

North Carolina

28.3

Minnesota

27.6

Minnesota win probability: 48%

Margin (Minnesota − North Carolina): -0.7 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 55.9 (80% range 31 to 82)

Actual: North Carolina 19 – Minnesota 17 (margin error 1.3, total error 19.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.