North Carolina
ACC
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | @ Clemson | 32.7–20.8 | 23% |
| Week 5 | vs Notre Dame | 35.8–17.5 | 12% |
| Week 6 | @ Pittsburgh | 28.7–19.7 | 28% |
| Week 7 | @ Duke | 34.8–24.7 | 27% |
| Week 8 | vs Syracuse | 23.7–28.4 | 62% |
| Week 9 | vs Miami | 35.2–18.0 | 14% |
| Week 10 | @ UConn | 30.0–28.2 | 46% |
| Week 11 | vs Louisville | 29.7–21.7 | 31% |
| Week 12 | @ Virginia | 29.4–20.6 | 28% |
| Week 13 | vs NC State | 28.1–25.5 | 43% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ TCU | 10–15 | 34.3–20.2 | 19.1 |