North Carolina

ACC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Syracuse	22.3–30.1	69%
Week 9	vs Miami	31.2–20.0	24%
Week 10	@ UConn	24.9–30.1	63%
Week 11	vs Louisville	29.0–25.0	40%
Week 12	@ Virginia	25.0–25.2	50%
Week 13	vs NC State	23.4–29.0	64%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ TCU	10–15	34.3–20.2	19.1
Week 2	vs East Tennessee State	3–35	—	—
Week 3	@ Clemson	28–20	26.6–23.9	5.3
Week 5	vs Notre Dame	37–26	33.9–15.3	7.6
Week 6	@ Pittsburgh	17–21	30.2–20.4	13.9
Week 7	@ Duke	20–24	29.2–24.1	9.1