North Carolina
ACC
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Virginia Tech | 17–10 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Georgia State | 17–59 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Virginia | 39–59 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Georgia Tech | 45–22 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Duke | 7–38 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Florida State | 35–25 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Miami | 42–45 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Notre Dame | 44–34 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Wake Forest | 55–58 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Pittsburgh | 30–23 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ NC State | 34–30 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ South Carolina | 38–21 | — | — |