North Carolina
ACC
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Minnesota | 17–19 | 27.6–28.3 | 1.3 |
| Week 2 | vs Charlotte | 20–38 | 17.3–34.4 | 0.9 |
| Week 4 | vs James Madison | 70–50 | 25.8–28.9 | 23.1 |
| Week 5 | @ Duke | 21–20 | 28.9–24.7 | 3.2 |
| Week 6 | vs Pittsburgh | 34–24 | 22.7–29.1 | 16.4 |
| Week 7 | vs Georgia Tech | 41–34 | 29.1–28.3 | 6.2 |
| Week 9 | @ Virginia | 14–41 | 28.2–28.7 | 26.5 |
| Week 10 | @ Florida State | 11–35 | 26.9–25.5 | 25.5 |
| Week 12 | vs Wake Forest | 24–31 | 26.5–34.3 | 0.7 |
| Week 13 | @ Boston College | 41–21 | 26.6–27.5 | 20.9 |
| Week 14 | vs NC State | 35–30 | 24.0–28.0 | 8.9 |
| Week 1 | vs UConn | 27–14 | 17.3–35.5 | 31.2 |