2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 1:00 AM · Kenan Stadium
Wake Forest @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
Wake Forest
26.5
North Carolina
34.3
North Carolina win probability: 68%
Margin (North Carolina − Wake Forest): 7.7 (80% range -14 to 29)
Total: 60.8 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: Wake Forest 24 – North Carolina 31 (margin error 0.7, total error 5.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.56% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.