2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM · Kenan Stadium
Charlotte @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreConfident
Charlotte
17.3
North Carolina
34.4
North Carolina win probability: 86%
Margin (North Carolina − Charlotte): 17.1 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Charlotte 20 – North Carolina 38 (margin error 0.9, total error 6.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.82% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.