2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 5:00 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

North Carolina @ Boston College

Predicted scoreToss-up

North Carolina

27.5

Boston College

26.6

Boston College win probability: 48%

Margin (Boston College − North Carolina): -0.9 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: North Carolina 21 – Boston College 41 (margin error 20.9, total error 7.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.