2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 4:00 PM · Kenan Stadium
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
Pittsburgh
22.7
North Carolina
29.1
North Carolina win probability: 65%
Margin (North Carolina − Pittsburgh): 6.4 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Pittsburgh 34 – North Carolina 24 (margin error 16.4, total error 6.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.