2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 8:30 PM · Kenan Stadium
NC State @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
NC State
24.0
North Carolina
28.0
North Carolina win probability: 60%
Margin (North Carolina − NC State): 3.9 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: NC State 35 – North Carolina 30 (margin error 8.9, total error 13.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.