North Carolina
ACC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs TCU | 48–14 | 29.5–27.1 | 31.6 |
| Week 2 | @ Charlotte | 3–20 | 20.7–34.4 | 3.4 |
| Week 4 | @ UCF | 34–9 | 29.4–24.2 | 19.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Clemson | 38–10 | 28.1–23.9 | 23.8 |
| Week 8 | @ California | 21–18 | 29.1–24.0 | 2.1 |
| Week 9 | vs Virginia | 17–16 | 31.6–21.8 | 8.8 |
| Week 10 | @ Syracuse | 10–27 | 28.9–23.7 | 22.1 |
| Week 11 | vs Stanford | 15–20 | 20.7–26.5 | 0.7 |
| Week 12 | @ Wake Forest | 28–12 | 25.9–21.3 | 11.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Duke | 32–25 | 31.4–25.3 | 1.0 |
| Week 14 | @ NC State | 42–19 | 29.5–23.2 | 16.8 |