North Carolina
ACC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs South Carolina | 17–31 | 29.5–29.4 | 14.1 |
| Week 2 | vs App State | 34–40 | 20.3–30.7 | 4.4 |
| Week 3 | vs Minnesota | 13–31 | 24.4–29.1 | 13.3 |
| Week 4 | @ Pittsburgh | 24–41 | 25.2–24.0 | 18.3 |
| Week 6 | vs Syracuse | 7–40 | 21.6–31.5 | 23.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Miami | 31–41 | 25.5–32.0 | 3.5 |
| Week 8 | vs Virginia | 31–27 | 20.5–33.6 | 17.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Georgia Tech | 46–42 | 24.4–29.8 | 9.4 |
| Week 11 | vs Duke | 45–47 | 27.5–26.4 | 3.1 |
| Week 12 | @ Clemson | 31–20 | 29.4–24.8 | 6.3 |
| Week 13 | @ NC State | 39–20 | 26.9–27.4 | 19.5 |
| Week 1 | @ West Virginia | 30–10 | 32.8–32.1 | 19.2 |