2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 7:30 PM · Kenan Stadium
Syracuse @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLikely
Syracuse
21.6
North Carolina
31.5
North Carolina win probability: 73%
Margin (North Carolina − Syracuse): 9.9 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 30 to 78)
Actual: Syracuse 7 – North Carolina 40 (margin error 23.1, total error 6.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.