2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 8:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)

North Carolina @ Clemson

Predicted scoreLean

North Carolina

24.8

Clemson

29.4

Clemson win probability: 61%

Margin (Clemson − North Carolina): 4.7 (80% range -16 to 25)

Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: North Carolina 20 – Clemson 31 (margin error 6.3, total error 3.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.