2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 9:15 PM · Kenan Stadium
App State @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLikely
App State
20.3
North Carolina
30.7
North Carolina win probability: 74%
Margin (North Carolina − App State): 10.4 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 29 to 75)
Actual: App State 34 – North Carolina 40 (margin error 4.4, total error 23.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.