2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 11:30 PM · Kenan Stadium
Miami @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
Miami
25.5
North Carolina
32.0
North Carolina win probability: 65%
Margin (North Carolina − Miami): 6.5 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 57.5 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Miami 31 – North Carolina 41 (margin error 3.5, total error 14.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.56% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.55% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.