2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 4:00 PM · Kenan Stadium
Clemson @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
Clemson
28.1
North Carolina
23.9
North Carolina win probability: 40%
Margin (North Carolina − Clemson): -4.2 (80% range -25 to 16)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Clemson 38 – North Carolina 10 (margin error 23.8, total error 4.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.