2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kenan Stadium
Miami @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreConfident
Miami
35.2
North Carolina
18.0
North Carolina win probability: 14%
Margin (North Carolina − Miami): -17.3 (80% range -38 to 3)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 10 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:02 PM | -17.3 | 53.2 | 14% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:05 PM | -17.3 | 53.2 | 14% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:30 PM | -17.3 | 53.2 | 14% |