2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kenan Stadium
Syracuse @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
Syracuse
22.3
North Carolina
30.1
North Carolina win probability: 69%
Margin (North Carolina − Syracuse): 7.9 (80% range -12 to 28)
Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:49 PM | 4.7 | 52.1 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:50 PM | 4.7 | 52.1 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:34 PM | 4.7 | 52.1 | 62% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:49 AM | 4.7 | 52.1 | 62% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:00 PM | 4.7 | 52.1 | 62% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:04 PM | 4.3 | 52.4 | 61% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:43 PM | 5.6 | 51.3 | 64% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:35 PM | 6.2 | 50.0 | 65% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:20 PM | 6.3 | 50.0 | 65% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:21 AM | 6.5 | 50.0 | 66% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:59 PM | 6.5 | 50.0 | 66% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:49 PM | 4.2 | 51.2 | 61% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:48 PM | 6.2 | 53.6 | 65% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:06 PM | 7.0 | 52.9 | 67% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:09 PM | 7.9 | 52.4 | 69% |