2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kenan Stadium
Syracuse @ North Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
Syracuse
23.7
North Carolina
28.4
North Carolina win probability: 62%
Margin (North Carolina − Syracuse): 4.7 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 29 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:49 PM | 4.7 | 52.1 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:50 PM | 4.7 | 52.1 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:34 PM | 4.7 | 52.1 | 62% |