2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
North Carolina @ Clemson
Predicted scoreLikely
North Carolina
20.8
Clemson
32.7
Clemson win probability: 77%
Margin (Clemson − North Carolina): 11.9 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:32 PM | 11.9 | 53.6 | 77% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:37 PM | 11.8 | 53.5 | 77% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:00 PM | 11.9 | 53.5 | 77% |