2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 7:30 PM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Nevada @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreLikely

Nevada

18.4

Minnesota

34.6

Minnesota win probability: 85%

Margin (Minnesota − Nevada): 16.2 (80% range -4 to 37)

Total: 53.0 (80% range 31 to 77)

Actual: Nevada 0 – Minnesota 27 (margin error 10.8, total error 26.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.