Nevada
Mountain West
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Western Kentucky | 26.3–25.2 | 47% |
| Week 3 | @ Middle Tennessee | 26.5–27.5 | 52% |
| Week 4 | vs Air Force | 28.1–24.3 | 41% |
| Week 6 | @ UTEP | 22.5–23.8 | 53% |
| Week 7 | @ North Dakota State | 32.7–20.8 | 25% |
| Week 8 | vs San José State | 24.3–25.5 | 53% |
| Week 9 | @ UCLA | 29.8–20.1 | 27% |
| Week 10 | vs New Mexico | 30.4–22.7 | 32% |
| Week 11 | @ Northern Illinois | 26.0–23.8 | 45% |
| Week 12 | vs Hawai'i | 26.4–24.7 | 46% |
| Week 13 | @ UNLV | 34.3–20.9 | 20% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
No completed, graded games for 2026 yet.