2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 11:00 PM · Fargodome

Nevada @ North Dakota State

Predicted scoreLikely

Nevada

20.8

North Dakota State

32.7

North Dakota State win probability: 75%

Margin (North Dakota State − Nevada): 11.9 (80% range -10 to 35)

Total: 53.5 (80% range 33 to 75)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.