Nevada
Mountain West
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs SMU | 29–24 | 33.8–20.3 | 8.6 |
| Week 1 | @ Troy | 26–28 | 36.4–15.9 | 22.5 |
| Week 2 | vs Georgia Southern | 20–17 | 26.7–30.2 | 6.5 |
| Week 3 | @ Minnesota | 27–0 | 34.6–18.4 | 10.8 |
| Week 6 | @ San José State | 35–31 | 30.6–23.5 | 3.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Oregon State | 37–42 | 30.9–24.7 | 11.1 |
| Week 8 | vs Fresno State | 24–21 | 26.5–26.5 | 3.0 |
| Week 9 | @ Hawai'i | 34–13 | 26.6–32.9 | 27.2 |
| Week 10 | vs Colorado State | 38–21 | 25.9–28.4 | 19.5 |
| Week 11 | @ Boise State | 28–21 | 39.7–21.3 | 11.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Air Force | 22–19 | 25.4–27.0 | 4.5 |
| Week 14 | @ UNLV | 38–14 | 32.9–20.5 | 11.5 |