2024 Week 10 · Nov 3, 2024, 12:00 AM · Mackay Stadium
Colorado State @ Nevada
Predicted scoreToss-up
Colorado State
25.9
Nevada
28.4
Nevada win probability: 56%
Margin (Nevada − Colorado State): 2.5 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Colorado State 38 – Nevada 21 (margin error 19.5, total error 4.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.