Nevada
Mountain West
2018 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2018
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Vanderbilt | 41–10 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Oregon State | 35–37 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Toledo | 63–44 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Air Force | 25–28 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Fresno State | 21–3 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Boise State | 31–27 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Hawai'i | 22–40 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs San Diego State | 24–28 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Colorado State | 10–49 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ San José State | 12–21 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ UNLV | 34–29 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Arkansas State | 13–16 | — | — |