Nevada
Mountain West
2022 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2022
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ New Mexico State | 12–23 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Texas State | 14–38 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Iowa | 27–0 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Air Force | 48–20 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Colorado State | 17–14 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Hawai'i | 31–16 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs San Diego State | 23–7 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ San José State | 35–28 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Boise State | 41–3 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Fresno State | 41–14 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ UNLV | 27–22 | — | — |