Nevada
Mountain West
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Notre Dame | 39–10 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Buffalo | 14–38 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Purdue | 24–14 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Hawai'i | 38–17 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Fresno State | 22–27 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ San José State | 14–10 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Wyoming | 42–34 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ New Mexico | 35–26 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs San Diego State | 46–16 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Utah State | 37–38 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ UNLV | 10–45 | — | — |