Nevada
Mountain West
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ California | 17–22 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Kansas State | 38–17 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Boise State | 31–41 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs New Mexico State | 28–55 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Hawai'i | 17–34 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Fresno State | 34–32 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs UNLV | 20–51 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs San José State | 24–27 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ San Diego State | 23–21 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Air Force | 41–39 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Colorado State | 10–52 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Western Michigan | 52–24 | — | — |