Nevada
Mountain West
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ USC | 66–14 | 39.9–16.5 | 28.6 |
| Week 3 | vs Kansas | 31–24 | 37.5–23.7 | 6.8 |
| Week 4 | @ Texas State | 35–24 | 29.1–22.6 | 4.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Fresno State | 27–9 | 34.2–14.5 | 1.7 |
| Week 7 | vs UNLV | 45–27 | 27.4–24.0 | 14.6 |
| Week 8 | @ San Diego State | 0–6 | 27.1–24.6 | 8.6 |
| Week 9 | vs New Mexico | 24–34 | 24.0–31.7 | 2.3 |
| Week 10 | vs Hawai'i | 27–14 | 23.5–33.0 | 22.5 |
| Week 11 | @ Utah State | 41–24 | 29.4–24.6 | 12.2 |
| Week 12 | @ Colorado State | 30–20 | 25.0–23.3 | 8.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Wyoming | 42–6 | 27.0–21.7 | 30.7 |