2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 8:00 PM · Canvas Stadium
Nevada @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Nevada
23.3
Colorado State
25.0
Colorado State win probability: 54%
Margin (Colorado State − Nevada): 1.7 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 48.4 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Nevada 20 – Colorado State 30 (margin error 8.3, total error 1.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.