Predicted scoreLean
Wyoming
27.0
Nevada
21.7
Nevada win probability: 37%
Margin (Nevada − Wyoming): -5.3 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 48.7 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Wyoming 42 – Nevada 6 (margin error 30.7, total error 0.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.