2024 Week 9 · Oct 27, 2024, 3:59 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Nevada @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLean

Nevada

32.9

Hawai'i

26.6

Hawai'i win probability: 35%

Margin (Hawai'i − Nevada): -6.2 (80% range -27 to 14)

Total: 59.5 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Nevada 13 – Hawai'i 34 (margin error 27.2, total error 12.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.